Bradley Model Performance Using a Very Simplistic Approach

 
 
One method of employing the Bradley Model, especially appealing to some, is to apply it using the annual low and high (or the major low and high points) of the Bradley Siderograph Indicator each year as Buy and Sell signals, respectively.  Sometimes there isn't a low for the year since, for example, the Bradley Siderograph may be trending lower into the following year (this occurred at the end of 2002 and the beginning of 2003) ... same goes for occasional Bradley Siderograph uptrends continuing into the succeeding year.  This method using Bradley's Siderograph is not suited for everyone.  The approach may be boring to some, particularly traders.  However; check the results below using this simple approach vs. the major stock averages, ETFs and several mutual funds since we began tracking Bradley using this method live in early 1998.

The performance numbers below includes dividends except on the market averages, i.e., Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, NYSE Stock Composite, NASDAQ Composite, Value Line Geometric and Arithmetic, and Dow Jones Total Stock Market.  It also includes assumed earned interest while out of the market at the average of the Fidelity Cash Reserves (a large U.S. money market fund) 7-day compound rates on sell and buy dates.  Transaction costs and taxes are not included.  This approach has an impressive track record perhaps worthy of consideration.  It is doubtful its success can be attributed only to a string of coincidences ... if so, it's quite a string.

 
The last signal, June 21, 2017, was a Sell signal by the method described above.

PLEASE NOTE: There is a substantial time delay in updating signal performance on this webpage in deference to those who purchase the Bradley Model software and data.

 
The following performance summary of was compiled by the creator of a Bradley Siderograph Indicator calculating software.  These results were derived from real-time monitoring and based on the computed Bradley Siderograph Indicator from our software, which is for sale.  If you find these results interesting and want to know more, the complete details of our Bradley software is at http://aunegl.com where it may also be purchased.

If you are viewing this summary accessed from other sources, please click on the above link which will take you to our home page that leads to further details.  Although this summary is believed to be accurate, errors can occur and any are unintentional; therefore, proceed accordingly.

 
 

           ANNUALIZED COMPOUND GROWTH PERCENTAGE RATES:
                             -------At Last SELL Signal--------
                                                 L                                Per-
                             % Using  % Using    o              $10,000 Grew to   cent
                             Bradley   Buy    W  s              at Last Buy/Sell   of
   1/22/1998 to 06/21/2017      for     &     i  s   Avg.  Avg.  ----Signal-----  time
                              Annual   Hold   n  e   Win  Loss   Using   As Per    at
   BENCHMARK                   Trade  (B&H)   s  s    %     %   Bradley  (B&H)    Risk
   --------------------------  -----  -----  -- --  ----- -----  ------ ------  ------  

   Dow Jones Industrials        8.97   5.26  21  1   8.04  9.23  $52954 $27049   52.31
   DIA                         10.32   7.67  20  2   9.59  3.08   67275  42011   52.31
   S&P 500 Index               10.10   4.39  19  3  10.41  5.11   64766  24918   52.31
   SPY                         11.44   6.84  20  2  10.93  5.42   81898  36122   52.31
   RSP S&P Rydex Equal Weight
      since 5/2/2003:          11.86  11.11  16  1  10.13  2.47   48778  44351   51.57
   VTI since 10/01/2001        10.60   8.25  17  1   9.55  4.36   48705  34795   50.49
   New York Stock Composite     9.65   4.08  20  2   9.00  4.21   59766  21726   52.31
   Vanguard Total Stock Market 11.65   6.93  20  2  11.27  6.27   84911  39468   52.31
   NASDAQ Composite Index      14.99   7.22  19  3  17.41 11.13  150590  38700   52.31
   QQQ since 8/10/1999:        12.90   6.10  17  3  16.63 12.55   87432  28787   51.63
   Rydex bull/bear combinations:
      Nova & Inverse SP500:    15.89   N.M.* 29 14  14.77  6.87  175066   N.M.* 100.00
      SP500 2x & Inverse SP500
        2x since 7/19/2000:    12.18   N.M.* 23 15  19.99 13.35   69892   N.M.* 100.00
   IWB iShares Russell 1000
        since 1/26/2001         9.28   5.75  17  2   9.15  6.08   42871  25015   50.50
   IWM iShares Russell 2000
        since 1/26/2001:       13.14   7.63  17  2  12.36  1.41   75715  33421   50.50
   Value Line:
      Geometric Index           9.52   0.75  19  3   9.71  4.41   58434  11554   52.31
      Arithmetic Index         14.23  10.00  21  1  12.73  4.49  132276  63574   52.31
   Dow Jones Total Stock Mkt.# 11.47   5.26  20  2  11.13  6.94   82353  27072   52.31
   Fidelity Investments:
      Growth Discovery Fund**  14.92   8.64  21  2  13.89  5.01  148601  49946   52.30
      Growth Companies Fund    16.38   9.45  19  3  17.72  6.26  189914  57688   52.31
      Stock Selector           11.99   5.72  20  2  11.61  6.63   90095  29458   52.31
      Dividend Growth          12.04   6.48  19  3  12.30  3.94   90921  33842   52.31
      Trend Fund               13.73   6.81  20  2  13.45  6.19  121578  35952   52.31
      Value Fund               12.32   8.08  20  2  11.97  7.29   95448  45197   52.31
      OTC Fund since 
        10/21/1999:            14.95   7.22  17  3  17.26 10.40  113744  34253   51.09
   Wells Fargo Advantage:
      Growth A Fund +          15.90   8.48  19  3  18.39  9.43  175346  48580   52.31
      Opportunity A Fund +     13.84   6.48  20  2  12.80  1.19  123737  33836   52.31
      Large Cap. Growth A +    12.76   5.94  19  3  14.45  8.86  102936  30668   52.31

 
*N.M. = "Not Meaningful" since the portfolio involves 2 non-concurrent investments
with opposing objectives, therefore at risk 100% of the time.
** Name changed from Fidelity Contra II Fund to Fidelity Growth Discovery Fund on 
8/29/2003.
# Formerly Dow Wilshire 5000 Index.
+ Formerly Strong Investments' funds.
 
 

 
Last updated 06/22/2017 2017 copyright aunegl.com - Bradley Model Performance